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| North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노's★★★ M B C 5 1 3 1 . C O M ★★★ 쵸콜릿카지노 plans for a new nuclear test, like most 쵸콜릿카지노 things that happen inside The 쵸콜릿카지노 reclusive state, are shrouded in mystery. But that's not stopping analysts and officials from making some informed guesses 쵸콜릿카지노 about what's going on. Why is North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 planning to conduct a nuclear test? The 쵸콜릿카지노 North says The 쵸콜릿카지노 "higher level" test is part of its military 쵸콜릿카지노 deterrent in its confrontation with The 쵸콜릿카지노 United States, which it describes as "The 쵸콜릿카지노 sworn enemy of The 쵸콜릿카지노 Korean people." Its declaration that it would carry out The 쵸콜릿카지노 test came just two days after The 쵸콜릿카지노 United Nations Security Council voted in favor of imposing broader sanctions on The 쵸콜릿카지노 regime in response to Pyongyang's long-range rocket launch in December that was widely 쵸콜릿카지노 viewed as a test of ballistic missile technology. Pyongyang threatens South Korea Region braces for North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 nuke test N. Korea caught in 'vicious spiral' North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 threatens new nuclear test North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 move in 'defiance' of U.N.? The 쵸콜릿카지노 pattern of events is similar to The 쵸콜릿카지노 lead-up to The 쵸콜릿카지노 previous nuclear tests North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 carried out in 2006 and 2009. Kim Jong Un appears likely to shrug off pressure from most of The 쵸콜릿카지노 International 쵸콜릿카지노 community, including North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노's 쵸콜릿카지노 main ally, China, and go ahead with a third test. "NeiThe 쵸콜릿카지노r The 쵸콜릿카지노 prospect of stronger sanctions, nor The 쵸콜릿카지노 growing discontent of Russia 쵸콜릿카지노 and China with his 쵸콜릿카지노behavior, appears to deter North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노's 쵸콜릿카지노 young leader," George Lopez, professor of peace studies at The 쵸콜릿카지노 Kroc Institute, University of Notre Dame, wrote in an opinion article this week for CNN. Under The 쵸콜릿카지노 North's power-driven ideology of songun, or "military 쵸콜릿카지노 first," The 쵸콜릿카지노 punishment meted out last month by The 쵸콜릿카지노 U.N. Security Council requires a strong response, according to Daniel Pinkston, senior analyst for The 쵸콜릿카지노 International 쵸콜릿카지노 Crisis Group covering NorThe 쵸콜릿카지노ast Asia. North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 "sees International 쵸콜릿카지노 law, International 쵸콜릿카지노 institutions, collective security, arms control and any oThe 쵸콜릿카지노r cooperative arrangement as undesirable 쵸콜릿카지노 and as schemes to undermine The 쵸콜릿카지노ir national security," Pinkston said in a recent blog post. A new test will also give North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 a chance to underscore advances in its nuclear program, potentially moving it closer to a nuclear weapon that it can mount on a long-range missile. "To make 쵸콜릿카지노 its nuclear arsenal more menacing and provide The 쵸콜릿카지노 deterrent power Pyongyang's vitriolic 쵸콜릿카지노 pronouncements are aimed to achieve쵸콜릿카지노, North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 must demonstrate that it can deliver The 쵸콜릿카지노 weapons on missiles at a distance," Siegfried Hecker, a Stanford University professor who has visited North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노n nuclear facilities, wrote in an article for Foreign Policy this week. When is it likely to happen? Given that North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 is one of The 쵸콜릿카지노 most isolated, secretive regimes on The 쵸콜릿카지노 planet, one that views much of The 쵸콜릿카지노 rest of The 쵸콜릿카지노 world with suspicion, getting a clear idea of what exactly it plans to do when is often far from straightforward. Its announcement last month that it would go ahead with a nuclear test didn't provide a time-frame, so analysts and government officials around The 쵸콜릿카지노 globe are interpreting satellite images of The 쵸콜릿카지노 test zone and parsing The 쵸콜릿카지노 language in state media reports for clues. Most of The 쵸콜릿카지노m agree that North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 is technically ready and could carry out a test at any time. The 쵸콜릿카지노 question is when The 쵸콜릿카지노 top leaders in Pyongyang will give The 쵸콜릿카지노 political green light to go ahead with a move that is likely to furThe 쵸콜릿카지노r sour relations with The 쵸콜릿카지노 country's Asian neighbors and The 쵸콜릿카지노 United States. "I think by The 쵸콜릿카지노ir political calculations, this is where The 쵸콜릿카지노y're going to have, so to say, The 쵸콜릿카지노 most bang for The 쵸콜릿카지노 buck and make it most effective for what The 쵸콜릿카지노y want to try to accomplish," said Philip Yun, executive director of The 쵸콜릿카지노 Ploughshares Fund, a U.S.-based foundation that seeks to stop The 쵸콜릿카지노 spread of nuclear weapons. Yun said this week that North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노's 쵸콜릿카지노 recent statements suggest a test is "imminent." North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 on Google Maps: Monuments, nuclear complex, gulags How will oThe 쵸콜릿카지노r countries know if it has happened? The 쵸콜릿카지노 test is expected to take place underground at The 쵸콜릿카지노 North's Punggye-ri nuclear facility, and The 쵸콜릿카지노 first indications that a test has taken place are likely to show up on earthquake-monitoring equipment. The 쵸콜릿카지노 area around Punggye-ri has little or no history of earthquakes or natural seismic hazards, according to U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) maps. But The 쵸콜릿카지노 previous test, in 2009, registered as a seismic event with a magnitude between 4 and 5. Besides earthquake-monitoring organizations like The 쵸콜릿카지노 USGS, The 쵸콜릿카지노 Comprehensive Test-Ban Treaty Organization in Vienna, has a network of seismic, sonar and radiation instruments designed to pick up nuclear tests. It also has sensors that can detect gases that may leak into The 쵸콜릿카지노 atmosphere from The 쵸콜릿카지노 explosion. But determining The 쵸콜릿카지노 sophistication of The 쵸콜릿카지노 nuclear device, and what kind of material -- plutonium or uranium -- was used, will be considerably more difficult, experts say. At some point, North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 is likely to announce that The 쵸콜릿카지노 explosion has taken place. "Pyongyang will almost certainly claim that The 쵸콜릿카지노 test was successful and will tout its sophistication. It will be difficult to distinguish truth from propaganda, but experience shows The 쵸콜릿카지노re is often a nugget of truth in North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노's 쵸콜릿카지노 claims," says Stanford's Hecker. "It will be difficult to distinguish truth from propaganda, but experience shows The 쵸콜릿카지노re is often a nugget of truth in North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노's 쵸콜릿카지노 claims." South Koreans cast wary eyes to The 쵸콜릿카지노 North What stage will North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노's 쵸콜릿카지노 nuclear weapons program be at following a new test? With hard facts about The 쵸콜릿카지노 test so scarce, analysts are busy The 쵸콜릿카지노orizing what exactly North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 means when it says The 쵸콜릿카지노 test will be of a "higher level." The 쵸콜릿카지노re is a widespread expectation that it will involve The 쵸콜릿카지노 use of highly enriched uranium, whereas The 쵸콜릿카지노 country's two previous tests are understood to have involved plutonium-based devices. "A successful uranium test indicates that Pyongyang has advanced centrifuge technologies and related support systems," Notre Dame's Lopez said. "It means that North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노, if left unchecked, can both produce and export such material." In an article for The 쵸콜릿카지노 Bulletin of The 쵸콜릿카지노 Atomic Scientists last year, Hecker and anoThe 쵸콜릿카지노r analyst, Frank Pabian, speculated that North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 could test two devices at The 쵸콜릿카지노 same time, one using plutonium and The 쵸콜릿카지노 oThe 쵸콜릿카지노r uranium. "Two detonations will yield much more technical information than one, and The 쵸콜릿카지노y will be no more damaging politically than if North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 conducted a single test," The 쵸콜릿카지노y wrote. Some observers have even suggested that Pyongyang could make an early attempt at testing a The 쵸콜릿카지노rmonuclear device, which uses nuclear fusion to create a more powerful explosion. But oThe 쵸콜릿카지노rs say The 쵸콜릿카지노y don't believe The 쵸콜릿카지노 North has that ability within its grasp yet. In any case, The 쵸콜릿카지노 test is expected to take North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 closer to having a nuclear weapon it can direct at its enemies. But actually achieving that goal still remains a longer-term effort, according to Joseph Cirincione, president of The 쵸콜릿카지노 Ploughshares Fund. "I still think we're years away from North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노 having a capability to deliver a nuclear warhead on a missile even to a country as close as Japan or South Korea," Cirincione said recently. "And The 쵸콜릿카지노y're even furThe 쵸콜릿카지노r away from having a long-range missile that could hit The 쵸콜릿카지노 United States." What are The 쵸콜릿카지노 consequences likely to be? The 쵸콜릿카지노 region is already braced for The 쵸콜릿카지노 test to take place, and countries like The 쵸콜릿카지노 United States, South Korea and Japan are already preparing The 쵸콜릿카지노ir response. John Kerry, The 쵸콜릿카지노 new U.S. Secretary of State, spoke to his counterparts in Tokyo and Seoul by phone on Sunday, and all of three of The 쵸콜릿카지노m agreed that The 쵸콜릿카지노 North must understand "that it will face significant consequences from The 쵸콜릿카지노 International 쵸콜릿카지노 community if it continues its provocative behavior," according to a summary of The 쵸콜릿카지노 calls from The 쵸콜릿카지노 U.S. State Department A push for fresh condemnation and sanctions from The 쵸콜릿카지노 U.N. Security Council is likely, but wheThe 쵸콜릿카지노r or not The 쵸콜릿카지노 new measures have much bite depends on China. In The 쵸콜릿카지노 event of a new nuclear test, Beijing is likely "reduce its assistance to North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노," The 쵸콜릿카지노 The 쵸콜릿카지노 state-run Chinese newspaper Global Times said in an editorial last month. But it added that "if The 쵸콜릿카지노 U.S., Japan and South Korea promote extreme U.N. sanctions on North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노, China will resolutely stop The 쵸콜릿카지노m and force The 쵸콜릿카지노m to amend The 쵸콜릿카지노se draft resolutions." Fundamentally, analysts say, a new test won't upend The 쵸콜릿카지노 geopolitical situation in NorThe 쵸콜릿카지노ast Asia. But it will seriously harm The 쵸콜릿카지노 chances of any meaningful dialog between Pyongyang, Seoul and Washington in The 쵸콜릿카지노 near future. "It will signal that The 쵸콜릿카지노 new regime, like its predecessors, has chosen bombs over electricity" for its impoverished population, Hecker wrote. AnoThe 쵸콜릿카지노r test also increases concerns about where North Korea 쵸콜릿카지노's 쵸콜릿카지노 nuclear material will end up in The 쵸콜릿카지노 long term, eiThe 쵸콜릿카지노r because it decides to sell it or in The 쵸콜릿카지노 event of a collapse of The 쵸콜릿카지노 regime, according to Yun of The 쵸콜릿카지노 Ploughshares Fund. "That's something that we really 쵸콜릿카지노 have to be concerned about," he said. |
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